Predicting research results can mean better science and better advice

Expert predictions can be used as a tool for making research stronger, as my co-authors Stefano DellaVigna, Devin Pope and I argue in a new article published in Science. 

The way we interpret research results depends on what we already believe. For example, if we saw a study claiming to show that smoking was healthy, we would probably be pretty sceptical.

If a result surprises experts, that fact itself is informative. It could suggest that something may have been wrong with the study design.

Or, if the study was well-designed and the finding replicated, we might think that result fundamentally changed our understanding of how the world works.


https://theconversation.com/predicting-research-results-can-mean-better-science-and-better-advice-125568



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